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The Goalposts for Physician Wealth Have Moved

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It sounds like an absurd and provocative question: Are doctors now part of the middle class? Yet its one I hear asked in earnest all the time. And it is not as far-fetched as it sounds. Inflation, stagnating physician compensation, and shifting benchmarks all suggest that a new normal is emerging for doctors. The real question is what this means and how we should respond.

The Scary Math

The current federal income poverty line for a family of four is $31,200. That figure is based on a formula created in 1963: three times the minimum food budget, adjusted for inflation.

Economist Scott W. Green has argued that this benchmark dramatically underestimates what the poverty line should be today. Without diving into his full methodology, his inflation-adjusted analysis places the true income poverty line somewhere between $130,000 and $150,000. Critics argue that this estimate is too high. But no matter where you land, the disconnect between the official poverty line and the lived reality of supporting a family is enormous.

I can certainly attest to this. When I was a resident living in New York City with two kids, my cost-of-living adjusted gross income of $81,000 was not enough. We scrimped on food, had no room for extras, and would not have been able to afford rent had we not lived in hospital-subsidized housing.

Adding to this, the Pew Research Center estimates that the middle-class household income range is now $66,000 to $200,000.

Moody’s further estimated that in 2022, the middle class held a combined $500 billion in excess savings. By 2025, all of that excess savings had disappeared, largely driven by an average 25% increase in prices since 2022.

What Does This All Mean?

Quite simply, the goalposts have moved.

To live above the practical poverty line as a family of four in 2026 requires an income north of $100,000. Not long ago, a six-figure salary implied comfort and even luxury. Today, it often just means stability.

And to fall squarely into the modern middle class, a group increasingly skipping dental insurance to make ends meet, household income may need to approach $200,000.

So what does this mean for doctors?

The Physician Perspective

I recently spoke with a urologist friend about compensation. We both expressed gratitude for what we earn and acknowledged the work required to get there. We also agreed that, relative to the societal value physicians provide, we are likely underpaid. As he put it, paraphrasing, if a football player can earn a billion dollars to throw touchdowns, physicians deserve what they earn.

From a utilitarian standpoint, that argument is hard to refute. Doctors provide an essential service at moments when people are most vulnerable. Yet public perception often runs in the opposite direction until someone personally needs medical care.

Still, when we choose medicine, we enter into an unwritten social contract.

The Unwritten Social Contract of Medicine

By deciding to become a doctor, we agree to:

  • Take on a large amount of unsecured educational debt
  • Spend much of our 20s and 30s in school and training
  • Accept significant personal sacrifices during those years
  • Assume physical, emotional, and mental risks inherent to the job

In return, we reasonably expect two things:

  • The intangible fulfillment of helping other human beings
  • The ability to live comfortably

Living comfortably means not worrying about basic necessities for ourselves or our families while still enjoying some chosen indulgences. We expect more than being middle class. And certainly not living near the poverty line.

So the question becomes: Is medicine still holding up its end of the bargain?

Are Doctors Actually Middle Class?

A brief disclaimer: There is nothing wrong with being middle class. But it is not where doctors expect to be, nor where I believe they should be. I do not want my physician distracted by financial stress. I want them focused on patient care, and I suspect most patients feel the same.

Let’s look at the numbers.

The current median physician gross income across specialties is approximately $386,000.

By definition, doctors are not middle class.

However, it is sobering to realize that this average income is only about three times the practical poverty line and less than twice the upper end of the middle-class income range.

Yes, these are averages. Income varies widely between specialties and even more so within them. But there is a broader truth physicians must confront.

The Hard Truth for Doctors

Being a doctor is no longer a guarantee of wealth. It is no longer a guaranteed path to financial freedom.

And that reality looks even starker when cost of living enters the equation. In high-cost metropolitan areas, many physicians genuinely feel middle class despite strong nominal incomes.

There are plenty of system-level factors to blame:

  • Declining reimbursement
  • Increasing power of insurance companies
  • Fewer physician-owned practices
  • Less favorable government policy
  • Persistent inflation

These forces are real, and there are many others. The current situation did not arise from a single event, and no single fix will reverse it.

The bottom line is that the social contract has changed. I hesitate to say it was broken, because it was never formally agreed upon. Medicine has always been a buyer-beware profession.

But today, the future promise is far less clear.

The Problem Many Doctors Face

Many physicians have not fully acknowledged these shifting goalposts. Others see them but choose to ignore them.

The result is spending habits that no longer align with income realities. Combine delayed gratification, lifestyle inflation, and the desire to keep up with the “Dr. Joneses,” and the consequences become predictable.

Too many doctors continue working paycheck to paycheck long after they expected to stop.

The downstream effects include burnout, moral injury, and ultimately worse patient care.

This is, of course, a simplified view. But it reflects the current landscape of practicing medicine.

What Can We Do About It?

No one is going to feel sorry for doctors. We still earn far more than the average American, and economic stress is widespread.

That said, there are practical steps physicians can take at the individual level. System-level reform matters, and collective action is important, but those changes are slow.

Individually, doctors can:

The Bottom Line

Being a doctor remains an extraordinary privilege. Helping another human being in their time of need is still one of the most meaningful callings there is. Despite rising medical mistrust, the vast majority of patient interactions remain deeply fulfilling.

But the times are changing. We can adapt, evolve, and regain control, or we can ignore reality and watch the profession erode.

I know which path I prefer.

Jordan Frey, MD is a plastic surgeon in Buffalo, NY at Erie County Medical Center and the University of Buffalo. His clinical focus is on breast reconstruction and complex microsurgery. He is also the founder of The Prudent Plastic Surgeon, one of the fastest growing finance blogs. There, he shares his journey to financial well-being with a goal of helping all physicians reach financial freedom, practicing on their own terms.

Image by Jorm Sangsorn / GettyImages

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